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class="fontstyle1251">公开信息内容</span></td></tr></table> </DIV> <DIV class="flnr_list"> <UL> <table width="95%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tr> <td valign="top"> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td style="TEXT-ALIGN: center;LINE-HEIGHT: 200%;FONT-FAMILY: 宋体;HEIGHT: 26px;COLOR: #222222;FONT-SIZE: 14pt;FONT-WEIGHT: bold"> 盐池?017前三季度农村经济运行形势分析 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="BORDER-BOTTOM: #edc77b 1px solid;BORDER-LEFT: #edc77b 1px solid;BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fffcf6;PADDING-LEFT: 4px;PADDING-RIGHT: 4px;HEIGHT: 60px;VERTICAL-ALIGN: top;BORDER-TOP: #edc77b 1px solid;BORDER-RIGHT: #edc77b 1px solid;PADDING-TOP: 3px"> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap" style="font-size:12px;color:#222222;font-weight:bold;width:85px;text-align:right;height:26px">索引号:</td> <td nowrap="nowrap" style="TEXT-ALIGN: left;COLOR: #5b554e;FONT-SIZE: 12px">64032300-TJ-058-03_F/2017-1201003</td> <td nowrap="nowrap" style="font-size:12px;color:#222222;font-weight:bold;width:85px;text-align:right;height:26px">公开目录?/td> <td nowrap="nowrap" style="TEXT-ALIGN: left;COLOR: #5b554e;FONT-SIZE: 12px">国民经济和社会发展统计信?/td> <td nowrap="nowrap" style="font-size:12px;color:#222222;font-weight:bold;width:85px;text-align:right;height:26px">发布日期?/td> <td nowrap="nowrap" style="TEXT-ALIGN: left;COLOR: #5b554e;FONT-SIZE: 12px">2017?1?0?/td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap" style="font-size:12px;color:#222222;font-weight:bold;width:85px;text-align:right;height:26px">主题词:</td> <td nowrap="nowrap" style="TEXT-ALIGN: left;COLOR: #5b554e;FONT-SIZE: 12px"></td> <td nowrap="nowrap" style="font-size:12px;color:#222222;font-weight:bold;width:85px;text-align:right;height:26px">发布机构?/td> <td nowrap="nowrap" style="TEXT-ALIGN: left;COLOR: #5b554e;FONT-SIZE: 12px">统计局</td> <td nowrap="nowrap" style="font-size:12px;color:#222222;font-weight:bold;width:85px;text-align:right;height:26px">?nbsp;   号:</td> <td nowrap="nowrap" style="TEXT-ALIGN: left;COLOR: #5b554e;FONT-SIZE: 12px"></td> </tr> </table> </td> </tr> <tr><td> </td></tr> <tr><td style="font-size:14px;color:#5a5a5a;line-height:150%"><div id="egovinfocontenttable"><div id="vsb_content"><P align="left"> </P> <P class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="TEXT-ALIGN: center;LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 方正小标宋简?FONT-SIZE: 22pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 方正小标宋简?mso-bidi-font-family: 方正小标宋简?><FONT face="Calibri">盐池?SPAN lang="EN-US">2017</SPAN>前三季度农村经济<SPAN lang="EN-US"><?xml:namespace prefix="o" ns="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="TEXT-ALIGN: center;LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 方正小标宋简?FONT-SIZE: 22pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 方正小标宋简?mso-bidi-font-family: 方正小标宋简?><FONT face="Calibri">运行形势分析<SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 仿宋_GB2312;mso-bidi-font-family: 仿宋_GB2312"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;VERTICAL-ALIGN: baseline;mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;mso-line-height-rule: exactly;mso-pagination: widow-orphan"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-font-kerning: 0pt;mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri;mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">今年以来,我县依托特色品牌资源优势,突出精细管理、精深加工、精准扶持,以调整农业产业结构为抓手,以增加农民收入为目标,大力扶持特色优势产业,着力打造农业全产业链,加快推进中部现代草畜、北部沙生中药材和南部绿色小杂粮三大特色产业带建设,扎实推进滩羊、牧草、甘草、小杂粮、黄?/SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-font-kerning: 0pt;mso-fareast-font-family: 仿宋_GB2312;mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><FONT face="Calibri">?+4?/FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-font-kerning: 0pt;mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri;mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">特色优势产业提质增效,实现了农业经济平稳发展的良好势头?/SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-font-kerning: 0pt;mso-fareast-font-family: 仿宋_GB2312;mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">    </SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 黑体;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体;mso-bidi-font-family: 黑体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">一、前三季度农业经济运行总体态势及评?/SPAN><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">2017</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">年前三季度盐池县农业经济运行总体特点是:经济运行稳中向好,种植业结构调整稳步推进,畜牧业规模化程度进一步提高,农业经济稳步回升,特色产业优势凸显,农副产品价格总体平稳,滩羊肉价格稳中有升,三季度禽类产品市场回暖?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;mso-list: l3 level1 lfo1;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><B><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;COLOR: black;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 仿宋_GB2312"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">(一?/SPAN></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;COLOR: black;FONT-SIZE: 16pt">农作物种植情?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 宋体">2017</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 宋体">年盐池县完成各类农作物播?SPAN lang="EN-US"> 121.07</SPAN>万亩,做到因种尽种,与往年相比种植面积基本持平。其中:冬小?SPAN lang="EN-US">2.71</SPAN>万亩?/SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;COLOR: black;FONT-SIZE: 16pt">玉米<SPAN lang="EN-US">19.24</SPAN>万亩、马铃薯<SPAN lang="EN-US">17.1</SPAN>万亩、以荞麦为主的小杂粮<SPAN lang="EN-US">39.21</SPAN>万亩</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 宋体">?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;mso-list: l3 level1 lfo1;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><B><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 宋体;mso-bidi-font-family: 仿宋_GB2312"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">(二?/SPAN></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 宋体">畜牧养殖情况<SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 宋体">养殖存栏出栏量较往年稳重略增,截止<SPAN lang="EN-US">2017</SPAN>年三季度末,全县肉牛存栏<SPAN lang="EN-US">0.26</SPAN>万只,累计出?SPAN lang="EN-US">0.13</SPAN>万只;羊存栏<SPAN lang="EN-US">114.78</SPAN>万只,累计出?SPAN lang="EN-US">90.9</SPAN>万只;猪存栏<SPAN lang="EN-US">7.5</SPAN>万头,累计出?SPAN lang="EN-US">7.75</SPAN>万头;鸡存栏<SPAN lang="EN-US">21.95</SPAN>万只,累计出?SPAN lang="EN-US">19.28</SPAN>万只?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 黑体;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体;mso-bidi-font-family: 黑体">二?SPAN lang="EN-US">2017</SPAN>年盐池县粮食产量预测<SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 宋体">2017</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 宋体">年预计盐池县粮食总产?SPAN lang="EN-US">10875.2</SPAN>万公斤。其中:冬小?SPAN lang="EN-US">144.6</SPAN>万公斤、玉?SPAN lang="EN-US">7055.4</SPAN>万公斤、马铃薯<SPAN lang="EN-US">7618.5</SPAN>万公斤?/SPAN><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">   </SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 黑体;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体;mso-bidi-font-family: 黑体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">三、主要农产品生产形势分析</SPAN><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">2017</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">年盐池县种植业、畜牧业生产形势稳定,总体较去年同期稳重有增,夏粮受严重干旱减产,及时雨可抢墒播种秋收作物,秋粮生产预期向好发展,养殖业总体稳中有升,生猪养殖处于下行趋势,禽类生产形势较为严峻。下半年农业总体生产形势趋于良性发展态势?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体">(一)夏粮生产形势不容乐?/SPAN></B><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">夏粮种植面积<SPAN lang="EN-US">3.31</SPAN><A name="_GoBack"></A>万亩,与去年同期相比持平,受冻土层浅、春季和初夏无有效降雨影响,土壤墒情持续处于中度、重度干旱状态,夏粮严重受旱灾,冬小麦、豌豆等夏粮减产?SPAN lang="EN-US">60%</SPAN>。但我县夏粮种植面积比重低,对全年粮食总产量影响较小?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 仿宋_GB2312;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">(二?/SPAN></SPAN><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体">秋粮生产形势预期向好</SPAN></B><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体;mso-bidi-font-weight: bold">秋粮生产情况总体预计向好</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体">?SPAN lang="EN-US">6</SPAN>月份之前,种植的农作物以玉米、马铃薯、油料、瓜菜、糜谷等小杂粮为?B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">?/B>因墒情不好,马铃薯、陆地蔬菜等作物播种不全,但<SPAN lang="EN-US">6</SPAN>月上旬,盐池县出现大面积、持续性强降雨,有效缓解了玉米、马铃薯等农作物的旱情,农户借助此次墒情,补种马铃薯、陆地蔬菜,同时开始大量种植苜蓿、苏丹草、青贮玉米等牧草。油料、糜谷、瓜菜等产量稳重有升?SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-weight: bold">夏季持续干旱推迟了荞麦的种植时间,但秋雨较好,土壤墒情好,且得益于霜冻较晚,预计荞麦可成熟收获减产较少,预计粮食产量与去年持平?/SPAN><SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><B><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体;mso-bidi-font-family: 仿宋_GB2312"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">(三?/SPAN></SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体">畜牧业生产形势平?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32.15pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><B><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体">1</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体">、当前形?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">养殖业总体形势平稳,主要家畜牛、羊、猪、鸡存栏量稳定略有增,市场价格较为稳定,无重大动物疫病发生。奶牛存栏较去年同期略有增加,后备育成牛存栏增加较多,产奶量较去年增长较大;受牛肉价格持续高位稳定的刺激,肉牛养殖被持续看好,肉牛存栏量较去年同期增幅较大,羊只存栏量、出栏量略有增长;受扶贫扶持刺激,猪、鸡存栏量比去年同期增长幅度较大,出栏量与去年同期相比略有增加?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><B><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">2</SPAN></B><B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">、前三季度畜产品价格变动及四季度趋势<SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">根据当前国际国内养殖行业动态,结合涉农政策支持、市场供需、居民消费、养殖保险等因素,预计四季度盐池县畜产品价格稳中有升?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-list: l1 level1 lfo3;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 仿宋_GB2312;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">??/SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">受国内奶牛行业持续低靡和澳洲自贸协议签订等影响,中大型牧场给蒙牛、伊利等乳液巨头交奶价格?SPAN lang="EN-US">3.5</SPAN>?SPAN lang="EN-US">/kg</SPAN>左右,有一定利润空间,而小型养牛场、散户给中小型乳品价格企业交奶价格为<SPAN lang="EN-US">2.7</SPAN>?SPAN lang="EN-US">/kg</SPAN>左右,利润空间挤压,甚至处于保本状态。优势在于奶牛养殖保险体系较为成熟,参保比例高,赔付力度大,有效降低了养殖风险。我县奶牛养殖以中大型牧场为主,奶牛存栏趋于稳定,群体质量有所提升,预计四季度价格趋于稳定?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-list: l1 level1 lfo3;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 仿宋_GB2312;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">??/SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">肉牛养殖以小型规模场和散户为主,受肉牛行情稳定向好的有力因素和居民消费刺激的影响,存栏量和出栏量预计会增加,依托“见犊补母”、“三贮一化”等项目补助,增加了养殖户的信心。四季度牛肉需求略有增加,市场价趋于稳定?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P><PRE style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;COLOR: black;FONT-SIZE: 16pt">?SPAN lang="EN-US">3</SPAN>)羊业行情整体回暖。滩羊存出栏量稳重有增,羊毛、羊绒等附属产品价格进一步上升,羊肉价格稳中略增。县委、政府通过设立羊肉价格保险、养殖补贴政策、举办滩羊推介会、品牌保护等多种措施,增加滩羊产业体量、扩大滩羊知名度、提升滩羊肉销量?SPAN lang="EN-US">7</SPAN>月盐池滩羊产业发展集团成立,对盐池滩羊市场进行严格管控,逐步统一销售价格,对滩羊市场的发展有非常重要的助推作用。三季度以来,受市场行情回暖和扶贫政策的刺激作用,全县羊只存栏量较二季度增加<SPAN lang="EN-US">4</SPAN>万左右,目前羊肉屠宰价格<SPAN lang="EN-US">23-24</SPAN>?SPAN lang="EN-US">/</SPAN>斤,预计国庆以后涨至<SPAN lang="EN-US">25</SPAN>?SPAN lang="EN-US">/</SPAN>斤,四季度羊肉需求旺盛,预计四季度羊肉价格稳中有升,出栏量与往年相比加大,育肥羊流通加快?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></PRE> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-list: l1 level1 lfo3;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 仿宋_GB2312;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">??/SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">受扶贫扶持政策激励,生猪存栏量有较大幅度,因而四季度生猪出栏量会明显加大,土猪肉市场供大于求,预计土猪肉市场价格会下滑。上半年农户对仔猪需求量大,仔猪来源于周边市场,防疫水平参差不齐,疾病防控风险加大,二季度加强了补免和消毒,抗体水平增加,猪月龄增大,抗病能力增强,三季度后疾病风险降低?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">?SPAN lang="EN-US">5</SPAN>)三季度鸡蛋价格涨幅较大。受国内禽流感疫情影响,上半年鸡肉鸡蛋市场持续低迷,但三季度随着疫情减弱、新研发<SPAN lang="EN-US">H7</SPAN>疫苗免疫、供求不足等因素,鸡肉鸡蛋价格迅速回暖,平均销售价?SPAN lang="EN-US">5.5</SPAN>?SPAN lang="EN-US">/</SPAN>斤,受扶贫扶持政策激励,上半年肉杂鸡存栏量大幅增长,下半年肉杂鸡出栏量增加,农户对鸡肉的消费能自给自足,对市场的消费需求下降,预计四季度鸡肉鸡蛋价格稳中略降?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 黑体;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体;mso-bidi-font-family: 黑体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 黑体;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体;mso-bidi-font-family: 黑体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">四、主要农产品市场供求形势分析</SPAN><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">前三季度牛奶价格比去年同期下?SPAN lang="EN-US">0.3</SPAN>?SPAN lang="EN-US">/kg</SPAN>,供给充足,受外国奶粉冲击的影响,预计四季度牛奶价格与前三季度基本持平,不会有大涨大跌的现象;受经济下行压力等影响,牛肉价格与去年同期相比略有下降,预计四季度牛肉价格稳定略有增长;羊肉价格同比略有增长,政府对产加销环节的扶持加大、品牌保护加强、宣传推介至品牌效应放大等因素刺激,预计四季度羊肉价格稳中有升;猪肉价格同比略有下降,存栏量猛增已超出农户自给,预计四季度生猪大量出栏致猪肉价格进一步下滑;鸡肉价格同比基本持平,与猪有相同之处,存栏量猛增,下半年出栏增加,预计四季度鸡肉价格下跌。受禽流感疫情减弱等影响,四季度鸡蛋价格稳中略有降,将持续较长一段时间。白面、大米、荞面等粮食及食用油价格平稳,蔬菜、水果价格与上年持平,西瓜甜瓜价格与上年相比略有下降,四季度粮油、瓜菜等供给充足,预计市场价格趋于稳定?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">   </SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 黑体;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体;mso-bidi-font-family: 黑体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">五、农业经济发展面临的主要问题</SPAN><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">1</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">、盐池县旱耕地占面积总耕地面积三分之二以上,近年来春夏降雨少,粮食和牧草产量低,匮乏的饲草料资源难以满足主导滩羊产业发展壮大,草畜依旧不平衡,矛盾突出?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">2</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">、一二三产业融合能力不足,饲养管理水平低,集约化程度低,产品仍处于粗加工水平,附加值低,销售渠道不够广泛,龙头企业、新型经营主体带动能力不够?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">   </SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 黑体;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体;mso-bidi-font-family: 黑体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">六、对策及建议</SPAN><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-list: l2 level1 lfo4;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 仿宋_GB2312;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">1?/SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">进一步调整种植业结构,压减高耗水作物种植,大力发展黄花等高效节水作物,充分利用扬黄灌溉、库井灌区的水资源,发展滴管、喷灌等高效节水设施发展种植业?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">2</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">、加强滩羊商标管理,推广使用滩羊专用饲料,发挥协会和集团的引领作用,统一管控市场,使市场逐步趋于平稳,趋于可控?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;TEXT-INDENT: 32pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">3</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt">、在种植牧草、“三贮一化”方面加大政策扶持,同时发挥村级饲草中心的作用,鼓励养殖户多种草、多贮草,饲草中心提前做好干草调运储备,解决饲草短缺,促进滩羊产业健康稳定发展?SPAN lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">   </SPAN><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 28pt;MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;mso-line-height-rule: exactly"><SPAN lang="EN-US" style="FONT-FAMILY: 仿宋_GB2312;FONT-SIZE: 16pt;mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体;mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P> <P></P></div></div></td></tr> </table> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td width="100%" align="center" style="font-size:12px;color:#5b554e;height:26px"> </td> <td align="right" nowrap="nowrap" style="font-size:12px;color:#5b554e;height:26px"> <a href="/html/infoegovinfoycxxxgkcontent64032300-TJ-058-03_F........systemresourceegovinfosavetoword.jspindentifier64032300-TJ-058-03_F2017-1201003.html" id="savetowordhref"><img src="/images/systemresourceegovinfoimgmenu_word.jpg" border="0" align="absmiddle" style="cursor: 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